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Operational Impact Warning

Written by Isabel Mills on 12th February 2020


Operational Impact Warning: Yellow Wind & Rain Warning 15-16th Feb


The weather over the next couple of days looks like giving us a bit of respite but this may only be short-lived with further low pressures bringing wet and windy weather later in the week and into the weekend.


Further heavy rain and strong winds could lead to impacts such as difficult driving conditions, disruption to transport, structural damage, power outages and the potential for localised flooding.  

Warnings Issued:

  • Yellow WIND Warning (Very Low Likelihood of Medium Impacts) valid 1200 to 2359 on Saturday 15th February 2020.
  • Yellow RAIN Warning (Very Low Likelihood of Medium Impacts) valid 1200 on Saturday 15th February to 1200 on Sunday 16th February 2020.


Tuesday to Friday:

Today will see a mix of sunshine and showers although many places will remain dry.  The strong, westerly wind will gradually ease during the evening. Much of Wednesday looks like being fine and dry with sunny spells but showers are expected to develop during the afternoon, becoming heavy in places, but areas of more prolonged rain are expected to spread east overnight.  The rain is expected to clear early on Thursday morning with a mix of sunshine and locally heavy showers spreading from the west accompanied by a strong south-westerly wind.  The showers are expected to clear to the east late afternoon or evening with the wind easing and turning north-westerly leading into a colder, dry night with isolated fog patches in places.  Friday will be generally fine and dry with sunny spells but a band of cloud and rain is expected to move southeast during the evening, clearing overnight.


Saturday / Sunday:

A deep area of low pressure, now named as Storm Dennis, is expected to bring a spell of wet and very windy weather across the UK over the weekend.  Currently the forecast suggests that it will not be quite as bad as Storm Ciara, from a wind point of view, but this will be kept under review over the coming few days. Whether it is quite as bad or not, impacts can be expected over the weekend.


Saturday will be cloudy with occasional outbreaks of rain, locally heavy.  Although there may be some drier interludes, outbreaks of rain could continue through much of Saturday and Sunday.  This rain follows on quite quickly from the rain on Thursday and Friday so we could start to see some impacts in places.  Therefore, the Met Office have issued a Yellow RAIN Warning (Very Low Likelihood of Medium Impacts), to go along with the Yellow Flood Guidance Statement, to highlight the potential for river and surface water flooding. 


The rain will be accompanied by very strong, south-westerly winds.  The wind will increase on Saturday morning and, more especially during the afternoon, with gusts of 50 mph possibly 60 mph expected inland but as high as 60-70 mph along the coast, easing during the evening although the wind looks like remaining fairly strong along the coast through Sunday.


The Met Office have issued a Yellow WIND Warning (Very Low Likelihood of Medium Impacts) to cover the potential impacts from the strong winds.  Impacts could include damaged or fallen trees, difficult driving conditions, disruption to transport, power outages and isolated structural damage. With the potential for fallen trees and structural damage there is risk of injuries and danger to life


Warnings can be found on Hazard Manager, the Met Office App and on the Met Office website at www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings


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